So last year I did a count of how many HD fics were produced for fests in 2014. This year I decided to do a side-by-side comparison of 2014 fests vs 2015 fests to see if I could spot any trends.![]()
The table below lists all the HP fests I know of that ran in either 2014 or 2015 and produced HD fics. The top set are HD-exclusive fests, while the bottom set are more general HP fests that included some HD fics as well. Gray boxes indicate that the fest didn't take place that year.
Note that I included two HD fests that I saw run on tumblr in 2015. I don't know of any other HD-generating fests hosted on tumblr, but if you know of others I may have missed (on tumblr, LJ, or elsewhere), please let me know!
Some boring details:
You might notice that the numbers given below for fics produced in 2014 are slightly different from what I came up with the first time around. That's because I made some changes as to which fests I decided to count. For the sake of consistency (and trying to compare apples-to-apples as much as I could) I decided to make a distinction between "fests" and "challenges".
For my purposes, a "fest" conforms to these requirements:
- has its own comm
- each fic should get its own individual post (not restricted to the comment section)
- all entries are posted initially to the comm (can be simultaneously posted to AO3)
- fics posted are expected to be exclusive to the fest for some minimum duration of time
- a masterlist is produced at the end of the fest Note:
hd_cliche doesn't seem to have produced a masterlist for 2015, but there was one for 2014, so I went ahead and included it
- There are other characteristics common to many fests (anonymity, mod posting, minimum word counts), but for now I decided not to limit the candidates any further
The Tables:
| HD fics from HD fests | ||||
| 2014 |   | 2015 | ||
| Feb | Dralentine's Day (tumblr) |   | 18 | |
| Mar | 27 |   | 29 | |
| Mar | 13 |   | 5 | |
| Mar | 17 |   | 7 | |
| Apr | 45 |   | 23 | |
| Apr |   | 11 | ||
| May | 17 |   | 22 | |
| Jun | 39 |   | 37 | |
| Jul | 22 |   | ||
| Jul |   | 15 | ||
| Aug | 19 |   | 14 | |
| Sep |   | 13 | ||
| Oct | 37 |   | 16 | |
| Oct | Dralloween (tumblr) |   | 25 | |
| Nov | 20 |   | ||
| Dec | 39 |   | 40 | |
| Dec | 62 |   | 47 | |
| Totals | 357 |   | 321 | |
|   | ||||
| HD fics from non-HD fests | ||||
| 2014 |   | 2015 | ||
| Jan |   | 8 | ||
| Feb | 11 |   | 7 | |
| Feb | 1 |   | ||
| Mar | 3 |   | 5 | |
| Mar | 1 |   | ||
| Mar |   | 3 | ||
| May/Feb | 9 |   | 12 | |
| May | 12 |   | 13 | |
| May | 4 |   | 7 | |
| May | 0 |   | 5 | |
| Jun |   | 14 | ||
| Jul | 1 |   | ||
| Sep |   | 14 | ||
| Sep | 8 |   | 14 | |
| Sep | 10 |   | 3 | |
| Oct | 5 |   | 4 | |
| Oct/Nov | 2 |   | 0 | |
| Oct |   | 2 | ||
| Nov | 0 |   | 1 | |
| Dec | 6 |   | ||
| Dec | 11 |   | 10 | |
| Totals | 84 |   | 122 | |
|   | ||||
| Grand Totals | 441 |   | 443 | |
Observations:
- More HD fics were produced for HD-fests in 2014 (357) than in 2015 (321)
- Conversely, more HD fics were produced for non-HD fests in 2015 (122) than in 2014 (84)
- When added together, the number of HD fics produced for fests in 2014 and 2015 is nearly identical.
- There were more HD fests that ran in 2015 than in 2014. Consequently, it appears that having more fests does not seem to produce more fics :)
no subject
Date: 2016-01-27 09:53 pm (UTC)But your suggestion that the same core people who write H/D are at their max output is pretty much what I was thinking too ♥ Although I'm sure there is some fluidity with some authors leaving the fandom and new ones coming in to replace them, but overall the numbers do seem rather stable :)
no subject
Date: 2016-01-27 09:58 pm (UTC)And I didn't say because, well, I didn't want to be seen as contaminating your H/D post or anything. LOL.
And yes, H/D does seem to have new people joining, but I suspect, like our corner of fandom, it's only just enough to account for the attrition of older writers.
no subject
Date: 2016-01-27 10:21 pm (UTC)I think if I had the resources to track fic output over the last decade, say, we'd probably see a large spike in the year or two right before and after DH, and then a slow decline for a couple of years before a leveling off. This is just an impression, mind you - I don't have stats to back it up. But I think that the HD fandom is still pretty active, and that this activity has been more-or-less stable for the past couple of years.
The fandom has changed to be a bit more fest-oriented however. In the early days, more fic was created independent of fests, and there were far fewer fests as well. (see my post on that here).
Sometime in 2010 or so, interest in fests took off and that is where a lot of the action has been in recent years. Not that people don't still write for other reasons, just that fest participation is a bigger sector of fandom than it used to be.
no subject
Date: 2016-01-27 11:09 pm (UTC)I think you're right about the spike, although I imagine there was another one, albeit smaller, after each of the movies, too. As for the leveling off, I'm not sure we've seen how low it will go yet, although I hope you're right that this is the plateau point.
I was just talking to
Oh yes, in the ~Golden Era™ people just wrote for writing's sake, to tell a story, but these days unless you're in a fest, you won't get comments and no matter what we all say, we do go where the comments are. Not that fests are bad things, IMO. Even though I love my Snarry, I write a lot of other things, and I doubt I'd stretch myself nearly as much without fests.
Okay, off to read your other post now. :)